If you have applied under Canada’s Express Entry Program, and your profile is in express entry pool, the chances are you might be having a close tab on the recent Express Entry draws to know about the recent CRS score required to get an Invitation to Apply (ITA) for Canadian permanent residence. In 2018, the lowest CRS so far has been 441 points.

The question which is hovering over everyone’s head is whether in the coming future, CRS will drop more? A lot of speculations are going on and thus, some facts and figures are taken into account to look into the matter.

The most famous immigration method is Express Entry System which has three immigration programs:

  • Federal Skilled Worker (FSW)
  • Federal Skilled Trades (FST)
  • Canadian Experience Class (CEC)

In order to apply for any of these programs, you must first create an Express Entry profile that includes information about your age, education, work experience, language proficiency, and family members. Creating an Express Entry profile acts as an Expression of Interest for the immigration program.

After your profile has been created, you will be given scores out of 1200 points. This score is the Comprehensive Ranking System score that ranks every applicant who is in Express Entry pool.

Thus, it is very important to understand the CRS score as it helps you to know about your chances of successfully migrating to Canada. In 2018, the minimum CRS score required to receive an ITA has been 441 points, the lowest being 413 points in the history of Express Entry.

Can CRS future score be predicted?

To predict CRS score can be a one daunting task, as the issuance of ITA is entirely based on the Canadian Immigration officials. There are number of factors that are considered on how the CRS score will change:

  • The time duration between two draws
  • The number of Express Entry profiles submitted within that time
  • The number of ITA’s issued in each draw

Therefore, we can never be sure about the CRS score as the variables mentioned above plays a significant part in changing the CRS score. No one can really predict about the shifting of these variables. Although, by studying and analyzing current and previous trends in Express Entry draws, we can make a few predictions.

Going by the previous year immigration targets for Express Entry 2017, Canada aimed to accept 160,000 new permanent residents. In 2018, this intake is increased to 172,000 new permanent residents. The number includes Express Entry pathways as well as Provincial Nominee Programs (PNPs). This target also holds principal applicant on economic classes along with any accompanying family members (spouse, common-law partners, and dependent children).

If we go by the immigration target, we can expect Express Entry to issue more ITAs in 2018 to meet the increase immigration target. Comparing it with 2017, there are less than 10,000 ITAs issued in 2018 in the first four months of the year. Thus, it is reasonably predicted that the ITA will surpass the number of ITAs issued in 2017.

Thus, the minimum CRS score will drop. But please do remember that no one can predict the variables that one can’t decide how many applications will be received in 2018? If there is a slight surge in the numbers of Express Entry profiles submission, this may neutralize the increased number of ITAs issued and the possibility of CRS score to remain high.

Inopportunely, predicting with 100 percent accuracy is just not possible, but for applicants seeking an expectant outlook towards the future of CRS score- there is a definite, reasonable possibility of the drop in CRS score as the year 2018 passes by.

Thus, you may start to explore Canada PR chances by filling the free assessment form that will help you in evaluating your case further.

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